An optimistic, but probably false story

One of the first blogs to which your editor started paying attention is the several-years-departed Liberal Avenger. Some might even suspect that our good friend, the Limerick Avenger, took his screen name as a play on the Liberal Avenger’s site. Both Avengers have, for example, commented fairly frequently on Patterico’s Pontifications.

Well, his website is many years gone, but a hat tip to the Liberal Avenger, now a Facebook friend, for this story:

Wikileaks emails indicate Stratfor discovered Israel already destroyed Iran’s nuclear facilities

By Andrew Jones

Growing concerns over Iran’s nuclear facilities may prove to be all for naught. Officials from the global intelligence company Stratfor allegedly discussed that Israel may have already destroyed the Iranian nuclear facility, according to one of the emails released by Wikileaks Monday.

In one of the over five million emails leaked, the conversation centered on Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak praising the news of deadly munitions blasts at a base of Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guards.

“I think this is a diversion. The Israelis already destroyed all the Iranian nuclear infrastructure on the ground weeks ago,” one intelligence official wrote in an email dated November 14, 2011. “The current ‘let’s bomb Iran’ campaign was ordered by the EU leaders to divert the public attention from their at home financial problems. It plays also well for the US since Pakistan, Russia and N. Korea are mentioned in the report. ”

One other Stratfor official allegedly indicated a similar finding.

More at the link.

Your editor takes this story with a very large grain of salt. While the world would be a better and safer place if the story turns out to be accurate, there is little evidence that the Iranian nuclear weapons program has been destroyed: the United States, the United Kingdom and France would not impose sanctions which would cost themselves serious amounts of money if they knew that the Iranian nuclear facilities had been either destroyed or very significantly damaged. World leaders might continue to talk as though such an event hadn’t happened, but their actions seem to confirm their words. Unless Israel was able to do this, and still keep it a secret from everybody else, your editor would expect to see different behavior on the part of the major nations. For example, why would President Obama impose sanctions on the Iranian Central Bank, to make it difficult for Iran to receive payments for oil and purchase outside the country, when doing such simply added more tensions on which oil speculators have driven up the price of crude oil? That would negatively impact the President’s primary goal of getting re-elected.

The editor would very much like to believe that this story is accurate. Unfortunately, he does not.

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